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Geo-economics Publications

The GPI draws on both a rich pool of international thinkers, academics, and professionals from diverse backgrounds, including international affairs, banking and finance, industry, technology and science, media and international organisations. What we all have in common is a strong belief that new and fresh ideas are needed for a rapidly changing world, and a shared dedication to devising innovative yet practical policy solutions to that can make a real difference.

Is the Current Inflation Transitory?

Part 1. Short-term Inflation and Risk Factors Although inflation (defined in nominal terms as an increase in the general price level) is increasing. in the US, UK, and the Euro area, following a long period of deflation and a pandemic...
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China’s BRI fuses global infrastructure alongside socialism with Chinese characteristics

This article examines how the infrastructural benefits of the Belt &Road Initiative (BRI)are emanating from the world’s most populous country, and soon-to-be largest global economy,stretchingacross the vast geographies of the developing world.  We also look at how  the entire BRI...
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UK and Thailand to Cooperate in New Era of Smart City Development

The UK and Thailand have jointly launched the “UK Thailand Tech Export Academy”.  The purpose of the collaboration is to promote the development of “smart cities” to be constructed across Thailand.  So far, the initiative has involved the matching of...
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UK Exports to China Resume High Growth Trend in Q1 2021, After Plunging in 2020

UK companies are seeing a significant rise in exports of goods and services to China, in spite of the ongoing deterioration in political relations between the two governments. Indeed, China as a trading partner for the UK, overall, in terms...
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Why Are Russia’s Surging Gold Exports being Stockpiled in the United States, and not China?

As many geopolitical observers would note, China and Russia have formed a close strategic partnership in recent years, particularly since the ascension to power of China’s President Xi Jinping, in 2013, and that of Russian President Vladimir Putin, the year before.  This “special relationship” is reflected...
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Biden’s New Russia Sanctions – A Bid for Stable Relations?

On 15 April 2021, the White House announced new sets of financial sanctions on Russia.  This time the sanctions will have significant bite, targeting the country’s primary issuances of domestic Rouble-denominated government bonds. The sanctions come into effect on 14...
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Crypto-currencies: A Note

Central Banks are attacking crypto-currencies. An example is Frank Elderson, who is Vice-Chair of the Supervisory Board of the ECB, recently (March 16th) said that: “Crypto-assets are volatile. They lack any intrinsic value and there is no reliable institution backing...
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“Finance traders are fish in the sea, looking for the next mouthful”

When a trading ‘rabble’ hit financial markets in late January with retail investors putting a squeeze on the industry’s squeeze of GameShop, financial journalists were furious after years of pretending Wall Street had things to tell us. The upset by...
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Annual CIPD Reward Management Survey

In the 17th annual reward management survey researched and written for the CIPD, published on March 5th, 2021, the focus is on the impact that COVID-19 and the ensuing economic turmoil have had on employee reward management practices in the...
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The ECB’s Mandate: Wider Perspectives on European Union Monetary Policies

In January 2020, Christine Lagarde announced that the ECB would be conducting a year-long review process of its monetary policy and remit. Much has happened since its last review in 2004, and GPI has responded to Lagarde’s ambitious agenda. The...
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GPI Response to the European Central Bank Review

In January 2020 Christine Lagarde announced that the ECB would be conducting a year long review process of its monetary policy and remit. Much has happened since its last review in 2004, and GPI has responded to Lagarde’s ambitious agenda....
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Bangladesh’s Budget FY2021: Politics vs. Reality

For the last nine years Bangladesh has been growing steadily with an unbroken run of 6 percent or higher growth rates, reaching as high as 8.2 percent in 2019. With the unparalleled health, social and economic threats raised by the...
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Has the US Fed buried Milton Friedman’s monetary legacy?

The US Fed Chair Jerome Powell last week buried wage inflation targets. These were always terrible, but does this burial mean new hope? At the global central bank talkfest on 27 August, Powell put an end to the Inflation Targets...
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Pandemic and the Crisis of the Rules-based Liberal International Order

GPI’s Overview statement of mid-2019 noted the trends of de-globalisation, the failings of neoliberalism to underpin an equitable global order, and the build-up of pressure in relation to the climate emergency and resource depletion. These trends confirmed GPI’s original analysis...
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Diverging EU and US foreign policies are pitching up on opposite sides of China’s Great Wall

The Chinese government’s announcement of a controversial new national security law for Hong Kong has encountered distinctively restrained responses from policymakers and officials in Brussels and other European Union (EU) capitals in contrast to combative countermeasures coming out of Washington...
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