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Geopolitics Publications

The GPI draws on both a rich pool of international thinkers, academics, and professionals from diverse backgrounds, including international affairs, banking and finance, industry, technology and science, media and international organisations. What we all have in common is a strong belief that new and fresh ideas are needed for a rapidly changing world, and a shared dedication to devising innovative yet practical policy solutions to that can make a real difference.

Dresden provides impetus and lessons for Macron’s industrial policy push

The French president wants to unleash an “investment shock” in strategic industries in the EU, but subsidies alone are unlikely to make the bloc competitive. Emmanuel Macron, France’s president, has recently given a number of sobering speeches about Europe’s future....
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Amid Western sanctions, Putin courts Southeast Asia at belt and road forum

Several Southeast Asian leaders were feted by Russian President Vladimir Putin at last week’s Belt and Road Forum in Beijing as part of his pivot to Asia, elevating the importance of the region’s political centrality and economic vitality to Russia’s Indo-Pacific...
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In Thailand, China’s EV makers have found a refuge from EU subsidy probe

The European Union’s call to investigate Beijing’s use of state subsidies in the production of Chinese electric vehicles, along with the possibility of tariffs on EV exports to Europe, comes as Chinese carmakers diversify their manufacturing of EVs into Southeast Asia. Chief...
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The USA’s Indo-Pacific Strategy: Overestimating the China threat and ignoring East Asian reality

What the USA has labelled the Indo-Pacific (I-P) has become a central arena in the USA’s conflict with China. A conflict that has rapidly developed over the last 5 years from a trade dispute to a broad and increasingly ideologically...
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The Future Impact of the BRICS: A Reality Check

The recent meeting of the BRICS in South Africa, or to give its full title – The BRICS Partnership for Global Stability, Universal Security, and Innovative Growth – witnessed its substantial enlargement, from the initial five countries of Brazil, Russia,...
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The Intensifying Semiconductor War against China

There is little doubt that on October 7th, 2022, by intensifying and widening its export controls the US engaged in a “hot war” against China by attempting to destroy that country’s  capacity to develop further its semiconductor industry. The US...
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A Future Multipolar World

The contemporary geopolitical world is unipolar, with the US (aided by its Western allies) attempting to impose a specific ideological polity on the rest of the world. The analysis developed in this paper is that such an absolutist political approach...
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Franco-German cooperation will be crucial for the future of European security

After one year of war in Ukraine, it is evident that European countries must significantly increase their defence spending and rebuild their capabilities. Whilst it is true that Germany has taken some independent steps forward regarding defence, this is not...
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Head of GPI Europe participates in FES roundtable

Dr Karine de Vergeron, Associate Director and Head of GPI Europe at the Global Policy Institute, participated in the roundtable workshop “Mega-Regions and European Security”, organised by the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung, CEPS and the Geneva Centre for Security Policy on...
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The Future of Money: Central Bank Digital Currencies

The article (link) examines the rationale behind the exploration by the vast majority of the world’s central banks of introducing central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). The phenomenon is discussed in the context of a number of key issues: a) the...
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Is EU Independence Threatened?

Two well-respected analysts and commentators, John Mearsheimer (2022) and Wolfgang Streeck (2022a and b), have recently put forward a persuasive thesis that historical and contemporary fault-lines are placing the EU in a position where its political and economic independence may...
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The Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF)

The USA’s long-awaited ‘Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity’ (IPEF)[1] was released on 23 May at the Tokyo meeting of the Quadrilateral Dialogue (Quad). The IPEF complements the ‘The Indo-Pacific Strategy of the United States’ (Executive Office of the President 2022)...
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The Nation State, Territorial Integrity, and Reality

Despite the apparent acceptance at international level of several linked, though in some cases contradictory, norms, namely the (civic) nation-state sovereignty, the territorial integrity of nations-states, unitary and federal governance structures, and the right of self-determination, these norms are frequently...
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Ukraine and the Failure of Statecraft

Baker had asked Gorbachev “whether he would prefer a united Germany outside of NATO, independent and without any American troops, or whether Germany should remain part of NATO, with the assurance that NATO jurisdiction would not move one inch eastwards...
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Cold War Mark 2: Is the US the Ideologue Now?

There seems little doubt either that a new Cold War is appearing in the world, or of its ideological content. This is not to dismiss economic competition and security issues, but there needs to be a recognition of the ideological...
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