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Geopolitics Publications

The GPI draws on both a rich pool of international thinkers, academics, and professionals from diverse backgrounds, including international affairs, banking and finance, industry, technology and science, media and international organisations. What we all have in common is a strong belief that new and fresh ideas are needed for a rapidly changing world, and a shared dedication to devising innovative yet practical policy solutions to that can make a real difference.

The Federal Reserve & the Eurodollar System: Stabilisation or Takeover?

Key Takeaways The Eurodollar system remains a predominantly private, offshore network of dollar credit, but it can no longer be understood as wholly beyond the reach of the Federal Reserve. Since 2008, dollar shortages in that system have repeatedly drawn...
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Bangladesh’s Nuclear Gamble: Why Rooppur Represents Energy Insecurity, Not Energy Security

Is Rooppur the foundation of Bangladesh’s energy future, or a costly monument to poor negotiation, foreign dependence, and missed renewable opportunities? Bangladesh stands at a critical juncture in its energy future as the Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant nears operation and...
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New Washington Consensus in a Trumpian World

In April 2023, Jake Sullivan, in a speech to the Brookings Institute, formally announced the replacement of what had become known since the1990s as the Washington Consensus with a New Washington Consensus. This paper defines and briefly describes the original...
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Weaponising The Federal Reserve Bank Swap Arrangements

The US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s 22 April statement to the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Financial Services and General Government suggests a significant shift in US policy towards Bank Swap Arrangements (BSAs), the international role of the Fed, and indeed...
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Resetting the Dollar: Gold Revaluation, Stablecoins, and the Reinvention of US Monetary Power?

The United States stands at a critical juncture in the evolution of the global financial order. For decades, the dollar’s dominance has rested on two pillars: the unrivalled liquidity of the US Treasury market and the political confidence that America’s...
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The Changing Structure of the Global Financial Safety Net

Marginalisation of Multilateral Crisis Finance? Since the 2007-8 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) the Global Financial Safety Net (GFSN) has both significantly expanded and diversified. This has seen a steep decline in the IMF’s share of international liquidity crisis funding capacity,...
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Shockwaves from the Middle East: Evaluating Bangladesh’s Exposure to a US-Iran War

A prolonged US-Iran war could unleash a severe economic shock and social turbulence for Bangladesh, driving up energy prices, straining foreign exchange reserves, disrupting exports, and threatening remittance inflows. Can Bangladesh withstand the financial turbulence ahead? The conflict involving the...
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EU-India Renewed Strategic Partnership and Its Significance in the Shifting Global Landscape

The EU-India renewed strategic partnership marks a pivotal shift amid US isolationism under President Trump and rising Indo-Pacific tensions. This new Fondation Robert Schuman report, written by GPI Associate Director and Head of the Europe Programme, Karine de Vergeron, analyses...
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Bangladesh-India Relations After Hasina: Strategic Shifts and Regional Implications

Bangladesh–India relations have long been shaped by shared geography, cultural affinities, and deep economic interdependence. Yet these ties have oscillated between close cooperation and periodic tension, reflecting domestic political shifts and changing regional dynamics. The departure of Sheikh Hasina from...
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Interview: India’s geopolitical pragmatism between Beijing, Moscow, and Washington.

Dr Karine Lisbonne Vergeron, Associate Director and Head of GPI Europe, was interviewed by Jean-Raphaël Peytregnet, a career diplomat who served as Consul General of France in Guangzhou (2007-2011) and Beijing (2014-2018) as well as in Mumbai/Bombay from 2011 to...
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Trump, Miran, and the Mar-a-Largo Accord: A Brief Consideration

Introduction Until recently, partly due to Gillian Tett, the 2024 economic policy paper by Stephen Miran appeared to have been read by few mainstream economists. However, it had been the topic of much discussion within one of the three Maga...
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BRICS Plus – Annual Meeting 2024

The GPI Report on the BRICS 2023 meeting, held in South Africa, indicated gradual progress in the institutional and policy development of the organization and interest is joining the organization from several countries, beyond the five founding members indicated in...
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Dresden provides impetus and lessons for Macron’s industrial policy push

The French president wants to unleash an “investment shock” in strategic industries in the EU, but subsidies alone are unlikely to make the bloc competitive. Emmanuel Macron, France’s president, has recently given a number of sobering speeches about Europe’s future....
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Amid Western sanctions, Putin courts Southeast Asia at belt and road forum

Several Southeast Asian leaders were feted by Russian President Vladimir Putin at last week’s Belt and Road Forum in Beijing as part of his pivot to Asia, elevating the importance of the region’s political centrality and economic vitality to Russia’s Indo-Pacific...
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In Thailand, China’s EV makers have found a refuge from EU subsidy probe

The European Union’s call to investigate Beijing’s use of state subsidies in the production of Chinese electric vehicles, along with the possibility of tariffs on EV exports to Europe, comes as Chinese carmakers diversify their manufacturing of EVs into Southeast Asia. Chief...
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