Part 1. Short-term Inflation and Risk Factors Although inflation (defined in nominal terms as an increase in the general price level) is increasing. in the US, UK, and the Euro area, following a long period of deflation and a pandemic slowdown in economic growth. Yet it is too early to claim that the current inflation...Read More

The ‘America First’ Endgame argues that we are currently witnessing the ‘endgame’ of the international system established by the USA in the immediate post-WWII period. It is against this background that the US has enacted a new monetary, fiscal, trade and foreign policy mix, ‘America First’, which amounts to a coherent and comprehensive financial war...Read More

“England’s danger is Ireland’s opportunity” is an old Irish nationalist nostrum. Some see it revived in the pressure which Dublin has exerted upon London over the border in the Brexit negotiations. A few even fear that the unification of Ireland is being pressed, in time for the centenary of partition. Yet the same parties readily...Read More

GPI Senior Fellow and Head of GPI China, Michele Geraci, was interviewed by CGTN about the new Italian government, and its attitudes towards markets and the Eurozone.  Read More

As Theresa May’s Conservative government and the European Union prepare negotiating positions for a future post-Brexit relationship, the UK’s financial services trade with the EU’s Single Market looks set to become a key battleground in upcoming talks.  Alongside Brexit negotiations, the European Commission has announced its intentions to complete a Capital Market Union that will...Read More

This report starts from the assumption that in a highly competitive and rapidly changing world, European states will be better able to maintain their high living standards and remain internationally competitive, if they act with regional cooperation and coordination in their economic and industrial policies. In all the areas considered, the report identifies barriers to...Read More

In the wake of the recent Irish debt crisis, the UK Coalition government decided not to take part in a new rescue fund for troubled eurozone members, suggested by France and Germany. This decision comes in spite of the UK’s pledge to support the EU-IMF rescue efforts for Ireland through a bilateral loan of more...Read More