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UK Futures Publications

The GPI draws on both a rich pool of international thinkers, academics, and professionals from diverse backgrounds, including international affairs, banking and finance, industry, technology and science, media and international organisations. What we all have in common is a strong belief that new and fresh ideas are needed for a rapidly changing world, and a shared dedication to devising innovative yet practical policy solutions to that can make a real difference.

HARD BREXIT: PASSPORT TO NOWHERE FOR BRITISH SERVICES

Passporting is a fundamental way in which the EU does business. It defines an important set of benefits open to members of the EU, and passporting rights are not generally made available to 3rd party states. The UK will become a...
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BREXIT: THE POLITICAL DECLARATION

The issues relating to the status of Northern Ireland after Brexit, and in particular the Irish “backstop,” have not yet been resolved. The major political and administrative challenges confronting the Brexit negotiators in this area are however relatively clear. Assuming...
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Conservatives against Brexit

The time has come for those of a Conservative disposition who believe that leaving the European Union should be stopped to state their case. Significantly this is primarily on the same ground as many Conservative Brexiteers: the preservation of the...
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Churchill – a `founding father’ of the European Union – would vote to Remain

Winston Churchill has often been voted the most important/influential Briton ever. I was surprised to read claims that Churchill was a Eurosceptic, so I read through all his four great “European” speeches from 1946 to 1949. They were carefully prepared...
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There is no point in stopping Brexit unless we also join the Euro

“England’s danger is Ireland’s opportunity” is an old Irish nationalist nostrum. Some see it revived in the pressure which Dublin has exerted upon London over the border in the Brexit negotiations. A few even fear that the unification of Ireland...
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Brexit: A ‘Meaningful’ Vote for MPs Implies a ‘Meaningful’ Vote for the People

The Conservative Cabinet has spent the past month in public controversy about the customs regime to be applied on the island of Ireland after Brexit. It is widely recognised that neither of the two favoured solutions canvassed within the Cabinet,...
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EU CAPITAL MARKET UNION POSITIONS TO DELIVER FINANCIAL SERVICES POST-BREXIT

As Theresa May’s Conservative government and the European Union prepare negotiating positions for a future post-Brexit relationship, the UK’s financial services trade with the EU’s Single Market looks set to become a key battleground in upcoming talks.  Alongside Brexit negotiations,...
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Brexit has the semblance of a new English Civil War

Brexit may be coming, but the terms are far from clear. In the range between the Norwegian model (membership in the customs union and single market without political participation) and a hard Brexit severing all ties with the EU, and...
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The Regional Impact of Brexit – Assessing the Government’s ‘EU Exit Analysis’

The part leaking to the press of the Government’s EU Exit Analysis – Cross Whitehall Briefing’[i] highlighted the dire consequences for many parts of the UK of leaving the EU in the June 2016 referendum. The leak and its handling also exposed...
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Hard Brexit and The Regions

Executive Summary The two quotations cited above make the following points. Firstly that the likely economic storm that could yet engulf the UK post Brexit is going to take all the fortitude possible to manage it. And secondly, as with...
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The Feminisation of Poverty in the UK

The feminisation of poverty is a global phenomenon whereby a greater proportion of women live in poverty than do men. Around 14 million people in the UK – 22 per cent of the population – are living in poverty (ONS,...
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Capitalism and Inequality. 150 Years Late: Was Marx Right After All?

Karl Marx’s prediction was that capitalism would lead to the numbers of wealthy property owners (the bourgeoisie) becoming smaller and smaller, while everyone else sank into an immiserated proletariat, which would eventually revolt to overthrow its masters and introduce a...
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“HARD BREXIT OR NO BREXIT?”, THAT IS THE QUESTION

In his recent testimony to the House of Lords, Sir Ivan Rogers, former British Permanent Representative to the European Union, criticized as premature and ill-prepared the Prime Minister’s triggering last March of Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty. This is...
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European Union, Brexit, USA: The strategic dimension of the new trade issues

Brexit is the source of a great deal of uncertainty as far as the exit agreement is concerned. The British government has announced that it will trigger the procedure provided for by article 50 TEU on 29th March, but the...
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Time to Revive Multi-Sector Industrial Policy?

Current mainstream economic thinking says that industrial policy is ineffective, and that market forces should determine the fortunes of companies and industries. In the credit crisis, however, the UK government and most other governments felt compelled to intervene. They established...
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